2012-11-01
2012-11-30
x karl rove

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English 245

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.m. or future days. the romney campaign is watching closely florida, virginia and ohio. there are very few victory strategies contemplated by boston, the romney campaign, that don't include the buckeye state and they're concerned about signs of high turn-out in the northern part of ohio where the detroit auto bail-out was a big mallet which the president pounded mr. romney. on the southern border of ohio along kentucky, particularly along cincinnati, hamilton county, big optimism and turn-out for the republican campaign. virginia, florida, ohio romney believes so go though so goes the country. romney has only written one speech, a victory speech. >> carl cameron. let's get straight to the president's camp in chicago and ed henry. >> shep, the president has been getting very wistful. it started in iowa what started the obama movement. he said today he was crying partly because it was cold out and thinking back four years ago and thinking about everyone turning out for him last night. he is hoping for big turn-outs in big battlegrounds. i got off the phone with one of the president's senior

at the moment. but i'm not going to be a total waffle guy this evening. i think mitt romney will win florida. if the governor wins ohio as well, he will be the next president of the united states. but that's a big if. president obama seems to have blunted romney's momentum over the weekend. talking points predicted that would happen last week. because of hurricane sandy, and because the national media simply refuses to cover the libyan situation. so while romney had momentum one week ago, the storm stalled it. and that's where we are tonight. both candidates slugging it out, momentum for both somewhat subdued. in just about four hours the good folks in dixville, noch, new hampshire will cast the first ballots. i love the notch. nature at its best up there romney will most likely carry the notch. but new hampshire seems to be leaning obama. if president obama loses the election, it will be because he could not convince americans that his big government philosophy would improve the economy. even though mr. obama had trouble in other areas like libya, it is the economy that has made this electi

and they are behind and they are not catching up at this point. they will be in florida and virginia, two states you would assume by now they would have secured, they assume by now, they would secure, they understand the traditional or the battleground states which we have focused are not working out for them. now they are looking for somewhere desperately looking for somewhere to try and dislodge some electoral votes to win the election. that is not going to happen. >>chris: you bet your mustache on the president we securing person. how secure is your mustache? >>guest: i grant you the mustache will be right where it is today. and where it has been for 40 years so you know how serious a bet that was. >>chris: the key now is town out. the obama campaign has talked for years about how strong your ground game is. in ohio and what the romney camp says is happening in early voting and absentee balloting with the numbers on the screen. it is complicated. i hope you can see the graphic. they say, the romney camp, that 557,000 ohio democrats have voted early or gotten absentee ballot, up 155,000 from four

. they will be in florida and virginia, two states that you would assume by now, they would have secured. or they assumed by now they would secure. they understand that the traditional or the battleground states on which we have been focusing are not working out for them. we are even or ahead in all of them. now they are looking for somewhere, desperately looking for somewhere to try to dislodge some votes to win the election. i can tell you that's not going to happen. >> chris: you bet your mustache on the president winning pennsylvania. how secure is your mustache today? >> the 96 time we see each other, chris, i guarantee you that mustache will be right where it's today and where it's been 40 years, so you know how serious that bet was. >> chris: the key now is turnout and the obama campaign has talked for years about how strong your ground game is. i want to look at ohio and what the romney camp says is happening in early voting and absentee ballots. let's putting the numbers up on the screen. it's a little complicated. they say, this is the romney camp, says that 557,000 ohio democrats that voted or

. who is actually showing up, who is casting ballots, and, states like ohio, iowa, nevada, florida, we're doing very, very well. what they are doing is comparing this to 2008, and you and i have had the discussion. i am not suggesting we will win by the same margin we won in 2008. and, they are comparing themselves to john mccain, who had virtually no ground operation in many of these states, so, yes, they will do better than john mccain did and we may not do as well as we did in 2008, but, we are doing plenty well and well enough to win the race. >> chris: let me ask you, briefly, about florida, where president obama is down by more than a point, in the polls. and yet you are making your final advertising by the campaign there. in florida. why not in the state you must win? >> well, first of all, we feel very competitive in the state of florida. there have been a spate of polls, in fact in all of these polls, battle ground state polls that came out the last 48 hours, we are ahead in 90% of them, including florida. and there were a couple of mixed polls in florida, but we are very plea

in florida. and team romney thinks they have it all locked up. >> it looks like the map is starting to he can pand drastically in our favor. >> the spin from the right just keeps oncoming. tonight, richard wolffe and jonathan altar have a massive day on the campaign trail. >>> plus, all the latest on a bizarre day of early voting in florida. the romney campaign finally addresses their chief lie. james hoffa of the teamster reacts. and karen finney and e.j. dionne talk about the rightys who blame hurricane sandy for the rough finish. >> the hurricane is what has broke romney's momentum. >> good to have you with us, folks. the days are racing by and time is running out for the 2012 presidential campaign. mitt romney needs something short of a miracle in the worst way. the campaign continues to trail but romney went to cleveland today to project strength. >> the chose of the american people can lead to one of two very different destinations. if the president were to be re-elected, he would -- it's possible but not likely. >> romney's running mate paul ryan is trying to complete a hail mary pass

the latest on a bizarre day of early voting in florida. the romney campaign finally addresses their lie. and karen finney responds to the righties who blame hurricane sandy for mitt romney's rough finish. >> the hurricane is what broke romney's momentum. >> good to have you with us tonight. folks, thanks for watching. the days are racing by and time is running out. mitt romney needs something short of a miracle in the worst way. romney went to clooeflds today to project strength. in the choice of the american people can lead to one of two very different destinations. if the president were to be reelected -- [ booing ] >> it's possible, but not likely. >> romney's running mate paul ryan is trying to complete a hale mary pass in wisconsin. he was tailgating with packer fans today at lambeau field. then it was off to ohio as well. >> two more days. just two more days. two more days. this is one of those elections we will think back at and look at for years. >> the national polling average has president obama on top by just half a point. romney isn't as close in the states where the electio

with 303 electoral votes, florida is still up in the air although the president does have a lead there right now of half of a percentage point. now, it's important to note that obama took nearly every swing state, including colorado, ohio, pennsylvania virginia, and wisconsin. those last three really contributed to his win and to the fact that we were able to call the race relatively early last night. if you remember yesterday, there was speculation that the count could go on for several days in the event of a close race. the popular vote is very close at 50.2% to 48.2, just a difference of two points there but with nearly 100-point spread in the electoral vote, it's really no contest. congressional seats democrats did not gain control of the house, which was to be expected, but they did maintain control of the is that the, picking up seats in indiana and massachusetts, a big win there for elizabeth warren against scott brown. we're still waiting on results from montana and north dakota but departments have the lead right now. the two independents, king from maine and sanders fro

of the battle ground states. florida still too close to call right now. people voted late in the night and officials still ned to count the absentee ballots. >> steve: hispanics in colorado voted three-one and giving him colorado. he also took the state of iowa 52-46 for romney. >> brian: we thought that was going to be closer. all important state of ohio. this was neck and neck . it was the bellweather. union household incrosed support to the by five points . not a surprise. comny won north carolina which obama took last time around. mitt romney was able to grab. virge rirge and florida isn't in his column. >> gretchen: half of wisconsin voters have a favorable opinion of paul ryan, it was not enough to give romney a win. he lost his home state. >> brian: that was a dominant win in wisconsin. >> steve: despite the push in pennsylvania. voters gave the 20 electoral vote to president obama. >> brian: what happened to dead heat and too close to call. pennsylvania, president obama got out in front and never let go. we have long. john roberts is with mitt romney in headquarters and phil ke

a felony conviction in florida you cannot vote. fine, so they caught all these felons and they removed him from the voter rolls. how do i know they were black? in florida every african-american has black next to their name. that is by law. so it's very easy to target black voters. now, as it turns out i started going through these names. i will give you one name, okay? from in the book here where i show you the actual purge list in "billionaires & ballot bandits." there is a mr. robert moore convicted of a felony crime and so all the black robert moore's in florida lost their. there are a few in florida but not only robert moore's from florida but brought moore, bobby more's they said these were covers for for the spell in trying to, including mrs. bobby moore. mr. moore gets convicted of a crime and mrs. bobby moore loses her vote but they got thing -- one thing right. she is b. al: a and by the way when i say she is, this is not from kathryn harrison's list. this is from a current list used by the state of florida, in which every single voter on this list, everyone, no exception, their o

. >> gretchen: sticking to the election now. every hour and rally makes a difference. we have florida kelly wright in washington to lookk at the closing pitches. >> good morning as well. it is the final day before tomorrow, governor mitt romney is giving everything he's got to win the presidency. it is the last full day of campaigning for mitt romney. he will spend the day to urge people to get out and vote. he offers new leadership and faith in the american spirit. >> does anyone fear that the american dream is fading away and wondering if better jobs and paychecks are the thing of a past. i have a clear message. with the right leadership america is about to come roaring back. >> president obama went to colorado where he's in a very close race with governor and he won the state four years ago. >> this is not just a choice between two candidates and two parties, it is a choice of two visions for america. it is a choice between a return for the top down policiless that crashed our policy or the strong growing middle class base policies that are getting us out of a crisis. >> so both presiden

. >> appreciate all the work you are doing. >> then back to boston to await returns with often eye on florida, ohio and virginia, team romney expects as they go, so will the nation. for months despite record spending, record campaign activity, record advertising, neither candidate really been able to break away from the other. tonight in boston there is optimism. hope, anxiousness. preparation for what could be a very late night that could spill in tomorrow or beyond. megyn, bret? >> thank you. >> bret: now to chief white house correspondent ed henry in chicago. sned >> good evening, bret. last night, the obama camp was predicting a blow-out. we got off the phone with the senior advisors saying they have to admit florida, virginia, and slew of battlegrounds are too close to call. >> president obama tried to displace calm and confidence today -- >> i expect we will have a good night. >> it was clear last night the magnitude of the moment set in. as he waits to find out whether he will secure his place in history as a transformational president or mere one-term wonder. >> he said yes, we can. a

tomorrow, tomorrow and with the help of people in florida that will happen. >> first stop, florida, with shot at the president to shore up lead that dwindled. >> cared more about the liberal agenda than repairing the economy. did obamacare create new jobs? >> no! >> latinos are big in florida. and nationwide romney hoped to poll in 30s. he's been in 20s for months. first of two stops in virginia, lynchburg. >> get everyone we know out to vote tuesday. every voter get out. >> then fairfax to fortify the narrow essential in polls. to continue his potent contrast of the remark by the president when the supporters booed the mere mention of romney. >> no, no, no. don't boo. vote. vote. voting is the best revenge. >> president obama asked the supports to vote for revenge. >> i ask the american people to vote for love of country. >> then romney who taped a halftime message for tonight's monday night football game moved to ohio. romney couldn't win without the buckeye state but it's tougher. he added two election day sto stops. one in ohio and the other in pittsburgh. kid rock headlined a

, invested time, invested money, did not pick up the state. what's important is virginia, florida and ohio. mike, you've got some inside dope on virginia and florida in particular. >> yeah. just to set the stage for the drama of the next hour or so, the mitt romney math starts in florida, virginia, then moves on to ohio. from the war rooms of both campaigns, virginia is -- [inaudible] obama. now, the states are very close in the actual count, and we're trying to be clear here on our coverage about when a state is actually called and what the campaigns are doing, but we're also trying to pull back the curtain a little bit for you on what the campaigns are thinking. before the calls are made, what we're hearing. and just to give you a sense of what the mood is among republicans tonight, one of the top republicans in the country just e-mailed me talking about 2014, says there's another race in two years. so that tells you that the top republicans are hearing things from various states that aren't encouraging. florida, where the romney math starts, 50/50. hundreds of votes out of millions cast

for a very heavy dose of flova. the view from the ground florida, virginia and ohio. here's a look at the president's schedule. romney's schedule, looks like he's making some time for the key stone state. and the vice president stopping by "hardball" tomorrow night. we're locked up right here in democracy plaza. @ñ >> we need you, virginia. we've got to take back america. i'm counting on you. >> they're betting on cynicism. ohio, i'm betting on you. i'm betting on you. >> you have na responsibility, you have that opportunity and on november the 6th, florida can make mitt romney the next president of the united states. >> ladies and gentlemen, with you we can win. we win florida, we win this election! >> well, in 2000 the election turned on the state of florida. in 2004 it was ohio that was the key. in 2008, virginia found itself in the center spotlight. collectively i've been calling them flohva. until florida our new poll has president obama up. ohio we still have the president holding his lead. 51% to 45%. and in a recent poll of likely voters in virginia, the president was up 2

and we are still waiting on an official number from florida. it is obvious the state has not fixed its voting problems. as i'm sure you remember, it was florida 12 years ago causing the legal disaster between vice president al gore and president george bush. the difference this time, no one cares as much. president obama's victory was well secured without florida's 29 electoral votes. but for florida natives this is frustrating and all too familiar. the state's whole voting system is plagued by bad management and dysfunction. it is usually elected officials running the voting process rather than nonpartisan professionals to. make this system more efficient what florida needs now is better access to polling places and more absentee and early voting. >>> it's also affecting the congressional race. g.o.p. representative allen west is now demanding a recount. the election there is still too close to call. west is down just 3,000 votes against his democratic opponent patrick murphy. west is blaming a county supervisor for r

for? >>> republican senator marco rubio from florida will be the keynote speaker this saturday at the political fund-raiser for iowa governor. senator rubio has been mentioned a a potential presidential candidate in 2006. live coverage on c-span at 7:30 p.m. eastern. >>> miami book fair international live this weekend with two days of non-fiction books, author pant, interviews and your calls, e-mails and tweets. now a discussion with adviser to both president obama and mitt romney's campaign in the 2012 election. they talked about voter turnout, the president's debate and comparison to the 2008 election. this is about twenty five minutes. [applause] my name is justin smith. i'm the president of atlanta media company. i'm delighted to welcome you to the fourth annual washington idea forum convene bid the atlantic, the aspen substitute and the museum. as many of you know the atlanta has been in the business for a long time. 1857, to be exact, it wasn't until nine years ago that we truly became serious about creating the most interest and ambitious live forum for discussion on pol

. president obama wins by at least 303 electoral votes. romney got 206. nbc news hasn't called florida yet, even notice, a night later, which has 29 electoral votes. right now the president leads 50% to 49% down there. the popular vote across the country, obama leads by 2.8 million votes, 50% to 48%. chuck, this is something, i know you -- i don't know if you're billy bean or into the money ball stuff going on now, but i have nothing but absolute -- what is the word, praise for people like nate silver but more importantly the guys in plouffe and axelrod and messina. they seemed to have the numbers right and we were all the doubters. >> they had this secret government study that was available to the public called the census and they seemed to understand it a lot better than the folks in the other political party, on the republican side. when you look at what they did. you know, they knew this wasn't going to be easy. they knew there was going to be a fired up republican vote. they knew they were going to have some issues and sort of -- among some conservative white voters, among white men.

at this. florida senate race, republican connie mack lost to democrat bill nilsson by 13 points overall but 20 by women. in missouri, republican todd akin lost to claire mccaskill by 16 points and women, 22 points. tom tom smith in pennsylvania lost 18 to women. richard mour dock lost by six points overall and lost 12 points women. and in virginia, george allen, by six points overall and twice that margin among women by 12 points. in wisconsin, republican tommie thompson lost to tammy baldwin the democrat by five points and his margin by women, admirably enormous by triple that, lost women by 15 points. massachusetts, scott brown republican incumbent lost by eight points overall and 18 points among women. the great state of huo republican josh mandel lost to sherrod brown by five points overall, his margin of defeat among women, 14 points, in montana, denny reberg lost by four points and by women, lost pie nine 9. the republican won by one point and did it no thanks to women, lost wom been in six points so women did not support the guy who won, they supported the democrat shelley berkle

played a big role in that state as well. moving on to florida, this one is not called yet 4 obama 1 mitt romney -- for obama or mitt romney. north carolina, the economy had a big impact. and also three out of five of voters said they would want some or all of the health-care law appealed. you see mitt romney on top in north carolina. he gets that battleground state. in a virginia, and 2008, obama the first democratic president to win. in 40 years. moving on to new hampshire. new hampshire from independents make up 45% of the electorate. president obama came out on top, a 52% to 47%. all of these results can be found on our web site at c- span.org. host: obama hits historic high with hispanics, winning 71%. he won 71% of the hispanic vote, the largest margin of victory with latinos in history. and politic of this morning, obama's re-election, 12 takeaways. number 1, 2008 was not a drill. for months, republicans have been working under the assumption that a bad economy would combine with an ebbing of the electorate that gave obama a victory in 2008. white voters would represent a higher po

day. that is live event, orlando, florida. governor romney set to take the stage after connie mack finishes. jeb bush, the former governor behind him. mack running for the senate position against bill nelson in that state as governor romney and president obama make one final appeal to voters. it has come down to this. good morning, everybody. i'm bill homer. live in "america's newsroom.". martha: i'm martha that mccallum. candidates are crisscrossing the states and getting every bit of energy and looking to some person's eyes who may change their mind after they do this. look at that map. governor romney makes five stops in four states. president obama holds four rallies in three states. as they try to get the surrogates everywhere they can to try to make it happen. >> we've journeyed far and wide in this great campaign for america's future and now we're almost home. one final push will get us there. >> i know a bunch of you already voted. but if you haven't, there's still time. bill: some of those events happened after midnight late last night. chief political correspondent carl c

battleground states of ohio, florida, virginia and pennsylvania reports that long lines already today. president obama and mitt romney await their fate from you. it is november 6, finally. martha: good morning, i'm martha maccallum. you have got these nominees getting ready for a long day of hoping and waiting. a lot of nerves frayed. governor romney plans to do a little bit more campaigning. but before heading out the governor voting in his home state of massachusetts. the romney team is headed for three pivotal swing states. as kevin madden said this morning, if you know this guy as he does, he won't spend the day waiting around. he and paul ryan will make an 11th hour appeal to voters. bill: paul ryan meets him in pittsburgh before leading to richmond, virginia. wendall goler is live in chicago where president obama will await election results. john, yesterday was not the last day of campaigning. how did this decision to campaign today come about for governor romney? >> reporter: it's not over until it's over. we talked to campaign advisers who said they are sitting on the tarmac i

carolina president obama took every single battleground state. the only remaining question is florida which hasn't yet been called and where the president still holds a lead. last night at 12 minutes past 11:00, 12 minutesfirst declared the winner in 2008 the president clenched ohio and with it re-election. but a few were too shocked to believe it. >> all i'm saying is is that look we've had one instance where we're -- where something was prematurely called. >> karl rove is here with michael back there with the decision desk. we would like to refer to this as cage match 2012 bring it go. >> just before midnight while karl rove protested ay held at his rtz in dave weigel tweeted -- nobody tell rove but the ohio gop has conceded and gone home. at 12:50 in the morning, romney called to congratulate the president and shortly after used his concession speech to call for national unity. >> i so i had been able to fulfill your hopes to lead the country in a different direction, but the nation chose another leader and so ann and i join with you to earnestly pray for

deepest sympathy. >> oh, by the way we won florida too. nah, nah, nah, nah ♪ >> ann romney: stop it. >> stephanie: do you think she can hear that? [ doink ] >> stephanie: i said is she in a bad mood for some reason? [ laughter ] >> stephanie: i swear i'll come down off of this by next week or not. [ laughter ] >> stephanie: i haven't seen jim smile this much in years. >> it makes up for 2000 and 2004. >> stephanie: it really does. i'm not at the bipartisan place yet, because they have been such [ censor bleep ] hats. and they have been so horrible and cruel to this president, i don't know if you saw him crying yesterday -- oh my god, if i would love him anymore, he -- >> obama: [ inaudible ] what i am doing is approved. and i'm really proud of that. i'm really proud of all of you, and . . . [ applause ] >> stephanie: i don't know how you could watch that and not cry. and you got a tweet you going to make fun of that like you make fun of boner crying? >> boner cries over himself. and president obama was crying over what the people had done. >> stephanie: yeah, how d

in their direction, particularly hispanics. i keep coming back to two counties in particular. orange county, florida, osceola county, florida. i do this because, you know, i'm hearing whispers. fi just think that apology was an unbelievable apology. as heart-felt as i've heard anybody do, when they feel as i they've done something they need to apologize for. >> i just shouldn't have said it. i know why i thought i said it, i shouldn't have said it. >> i commend you for it. i want tong sandy up for a reason because there's a lot of whisperimoives in the romney campaign, oh, if it wasn't for sandy. that is not -- look at -- what happened in the state of florida, would have happened if the election had been september 6th, october 6th or november 6th. this was structural. this was demographic. this had nothing t do with any issue. no auto bailout. no sandy. no any other effects. and so any other excuse that some republicans make is whistling past their grave yards. >> you accept it's more about demographics, more latino10%,lm. a pretty good showing among white voters, about 39, about the levels of t fiv

healthcare to learn about medicare plans that may be right for you. call now. jenna: we've talked a lot about florida, also pennsylvania, but florida this campaign season. the electoral votes in florida at 29, more than any other battleground state, which is one of the reasons we've talked so often with steve voscay, the tallahassee bureau chief of the ""tampa bay times"." you've covered elections in your day, what strikes you about this one. >> it's back to the ground game and a high turn out for both candidates, both romney and obama, the rain has moved through here. the weather is improving. this could be the first election in florida where we break the 9 million vote barrier. there's never been 9 million or more people vote in anee collection and the secretary of state here this morning predicted a record turn out because more than 4.5 million people have already voted. jenna: wow. >> about hatch the votes are in the bag so to speak. jenna: 9 million passing that mark would be significant, because we're talking so much about voter turn out. to you, what are you watching the rest of the day as to

carried 28 states last time, he carried 26 or 27 states this time, depending on how florida goes. that means republicans did lose everything else, but got back indiana and also north carolina. so it was not a totally hopeless night for republicans. also, hey, remember the crazy thaddeus mccotter seat in michigan, where thaddeus mccotter screwed up and they had to run this reindeer herder, santa claus impersonator for the seat, a guy whose own brother says he's crazy. that guy won. the shirtless reindeer guy won. so the republicans have him. big picture in the house, thanks mostly to redistricting the republicans were not in danger of losing the house, and they didn't legal cause it, even though the republican majority appears to have shrunk there. and even though they did get the reindeer guy. but in terms of, honestly, of what went well for republicans in this election, that was pretty much it. it is a short list. want to talk about what went well on the other side last night? i'm actually going to pause for a second to give you a chance to hit pause on your dvr in case you want

it that name, at the pejorative, but florida state where repealing obama care is actually on the ballot. you have bill nelson touting his support of obama-care and winning, so the lesson for democrats needs to be a lot of these policies, they can't run away from, they need to lean into them. >> and if they lean into, they will get the voters lining up. >> how many years have we heard republicans say, if we run promising to cut taxes, and democrats promise to raise taxes? we're going to win. this election turns it on its head. just in terms of electoral politics and strategy, democrats can say we should -- in fact, we've got majority support for it. that changes politics in this country. that changes how election -- it's not a promise to raise taxes. it's taxes an an investment, tax toss deal with big issues like the deficit in a fairway, but you know, that just -- the conventional wisdom for the last 30 years, at least since reagan is that democrats cannot do this thing. >> now, when you look at the republicans and they have a tough time viewing this as a man dade, at least t. the republican

in michigan, tom corbett in pennsylvania, rick scott in florida. let's not forget bob mcdonnell in virginia. and of course, scott walker in washington. what do they all -- sorry, wisconsin. what do they all have in common? they pursued an agenda to limit the rights of workers in their states so they could balance the budget, but also break up the unions. their agenda, last night, was rejected by the people in their state. you know what they all got in common? all of their states went blue. i guess we could say, well, thank you, governors, for defining the republican party for us. it made voting a lot easier for a lot of americans, like these voters, the radical agenda of the right was defeated by these people, the folks who were willing to stay in line, the voter who is made sure that their voices were heard. it didn't matter how long those lines were. they were determined. it didn't matter how hard the republicans tried the to suppress their votes. these americans put it on the line. and they put it together. you know what they put together? they put together a template for defeating citiz

, virginia and ohio. they feel ok about florida and virginia. but a sign of trouble. jonathan martin is hearing the margins for him in chesterfield county just outside of richmond, where he is doing well, it is not good enough. if he's losing there, it's a sign of trouble in the state. in ohio, romney is worried about the midwest. wisconsin, and ohio, real nervousness. in the obama war room, confidence. exit polls looked good for john kerry. there are jokes about president kerry. but their models are coming in. the vote is coming in how they expected. >> one state declared is indiana, which obama won and it is called for romney. it shows the map is smaller this time, the map is smaller. some of the exit polling looks good, some does not, with what people think of health care and the role of government. people ask me, who should i vote for? what will they do? i have no clue. none of the candidates talked about what they'll do. it goes with what john wrote, about how small the campaign is in what is a huge moment. when you think of what is happening with our debt. trillion-dollar defic

? >> look at ohio, he's up six. virginia, up 21. florida, romney is up five. elections are won in the middle. barak obama had the same type of edge that romney can boast that he has now. remember, obama went on to win 54 to 44 john mccain. look, i think that's the most troubling number and i would point out by these new fox polls as well, it shows it's not just independents that the president is losing. he's actually down nine points among white men. six points among women. and four points among that critical youth vote that propelled him to the white house. all around every demographic, the president's underperforming and especially in that early voting. he has a 1-point -- 14-point deficit to what the president had before. these are all indicators that this election could go in romney's favor. >> gretchen: that's the demographics. let's talk about the issues with regard to the latest polls. who do you trust to handle the economy? juan, on these four fronts, it looks like romney is edging president obama, in some cases big margin, specifically on the economy, 52 to 43 p. are you surprised

even in a close race. let's go through this. north carolina, florida, virginia. are you comfortable? >> look, in the realclearpolitics average which is a lagging indicator all three of those states plus indiana are comfortably out of the obama column where they were in '08 and into the republican column. >> sean: what do you make of michigan, minnesota, pennsylvania and wisconsin? really in play? >> wisconsin obviously is. i do think there is something real. you know, full disclosure i'm involved with american crossroads and we are are spending over $2 million in pennsylvania with television. we could have taken that money and plunged it into the existing battleground states. there is a real opportunity there and moved without the benefit of campaign activity. >> sean: you were attacked by paul krugman as having benefited financially, et cetera. >> i saw that. he wrote a piece in which he claimed that the reason i was involved in american crossroads is because i was a shrewd businessman and lining my pockets. i'm not against making money out of politics. he didn't bother to pick up

% of all voters in missouri to 16% of all voters. in north carolina and florida, the black share of the vote stayed the same. 23% in north carolina and 13% in florida, but i remind you, in those states, the same share as 2008, and those states both witnessed a large increase in voter turnout from 2008 to 2012. the only way black voters stayed the same share was increasing their turn out as much as everyone else in those states. finally, i would like to point out of ohio, which i assume that some of you have seen a few stories about ohio. in ohio, remembering back to 2004, the republicans were going after the black vote in ohio. george bush and karl rove using the issue of gay marriage were vigorously going after the black vote and increased their share of the black vote between 2000 and 2004 from 9% to 16%. there was a republican candidate going after the black vote in ohio. not in 2012. over that time, the black share of the vote went from 11 to 15. president obama won ohio by 2%. he got 90% of the vote in ohio. you do the math. that increased from 11% to 15% of all voters in oh

florida has learned since. >>> ♪ and on this veteran's day, we look to the thousands of men and women who have served and we'll ask if their needs have been met over the past four years, and we'll look ahead to the next four years, you're watching msnbc, the place for politics. >>> earlier we saw president obama honoring our nation's veterans during the traditional laying of the wreath ceremony at the tomb of the unknown. one of several events being held to pause and commemorate veterans day, from the sight as and sounds of parades like this in new york city, to the sheer silence of families visiting grave sites at arlington cemetery. today we all pause to thank and remember. >>> were veterans' issues honored on the campaign trail? some say not enough. governor romney neglected to mention veterans or america's wars during his speech at the republican national convention and after president obama said he would continue to fight for veterans during his acceptance speech they were not very prominent for the rest of his campaign. joining me now is former democratic congressman patrick murphy,

with annette in florida and the great nina turner in ohio. and the boots on the ground have prevailed over citizens united, with leo gehrard of the steelworkers. >> we are greater than the sum of our individual ambitions, and we remain more than a collection of red states and blue states. we are and forever will be the united states of america. >> good to have you with us tonight, folks. thanks for watching. today we're on the other side of history. last night we saw a statement election in america and it opens up a huge opportunity for democrats to move this country forward. this was the scene in chicago, the moment president obama supporters were told he secured enough electoral votes to be re-elected as the 44th president of the united states. president obama is not niaive about his place in history. the victory was a repudiation of the right wing agenda. also an affirmation of the president's vision for the country. >> what makes america exceptional are the bonds that hold together the most diverse nation on earth. the belief that our destiny is shared. that this country only works whe

to the state of florida on wednesday. it's expected to hit nework and new jersey. >> new orleans wins at home. philadelphia needed a win. didn't get it. >> are your hometown chicago bears good enough to win the super bowl? >> yes, they are. >> you have a favorite team? >> the patriots, and i take personal full responsibility for their two super bowl wins. >> is it true you did some shows with no audience last week? >> yes. >> what was that like? >> about like tonight. >> and all that matters. >> it's a couple hours off from work tomorrow. >> on "cbs this morning." >> did you go to the polls and vote yet? >> yes. >> was it exciting? >> it was a blast. captioning funded by cbs >>> welcome to "cbs this morning." this is the day when voters choose the next president of the united states. the traditional first votes have already been counted in new hampshire in the tiny village of dixville notch. president obama got five votes and governor mitt romney got five. and the outcome is expected to be just as close nationwide. >> that's right. three new polls of likely voters have just come out. one of t

303 electoral college votes to mitt romney's 206. florida, and my friends, my mustache-loving friends, this is important. florida is the only swing state yet to be called. >> oh, god. he's texting me right now. >> axelrod's texting u ining us now. >> this is what he says. >> if romney loses florida and north carolina. what's he saying? >> he says a deal's a deal. >> a deal's a deal. >> and that he can't do the show today. he wants to come in thursday when florida will be in and he can enforce the bet. that's gross. >> you're in trouble, by the way. >> what do i do? >> you're going to look awful. >> the vote that's still out does not bode well for your mustache. >> you're saying it's not northwest florida? >> it's not the panhandle. >> let it be said, or the rest of us. >> thursday, the day of reckoning. >> david, i can tell you. come in on thursday, and we'll see. >> where do we stand in florida, joe? >> it's pretty close. the president has a slim lead in the sunshine state, but it's considered to be too close to call. and with florida hanging in the balance, so, too, is my mustache.

're going to win florida and virginia. on monday, governor romney is going to florida and virginia, why, because he's in great risk to lose those states. we're playing offense on states they thought they had the inside track on and they don't. i think a lot of this is a smoke screen to try to mask the fact that the places that will play a factor, it's going to be close. they're definitely in a weak position heading into election day. >> anything that worries you in these final 48 hours in. >> sure, george. listen, four years ago, when this time two days out, everybody felt we were sailing to victory. we were veryconcerned. because support levels don't mean anything unless they materialize into votes. former president clinton is going to be with us in new hampshire. but this really comes down to our amazing volunteers. our staff out in the field who have to make sure the people who support the president exercise their right to vote. that's our biggest task right now to make suhuure we get our e out. >>ven the president wins, his margins will be smaller than last time around. will it make

is not feeling well. i wish you the best and speedy recovery. polls close in florida in less than six hours and the secretary of state is predicting a record high turnout with up to 9 million people voting. up next i talk with danny vargas and the washington post's ann kornbluth. the man everyone talks about when you refer to polls, nate silver of the new york fimz 538 blog. he predicts president obama has a 91% chance of winning re-election. the president will win 313 electoral college votes, governor romney will win 225. >> it's not a coin toss at that point. it's close, but you'd have to have a case where the polls are off across the board. it could happen, but if anything, the race has broken toward president obama a bit in the last 48 hours. >> that, by the way, was nate on last night on colbert. here's something funny making the rounds. lo look at this on social media. it reads keep calm and trust nate silver. join the election day conversation on twitter. you can find us at @tamron hall or at @newsnation. we'll have more on "news nation" live from the beautiful democracy plaza. i lik

virginia, wisconsin and the much-coveted ohio. we're still waiting on florida results. but president's second term is secure without them. >> obama: what makes america exceptional are the bonds that hold together the most diverse nation on earth. the belief that our destiny is shared. that this country only works when we accept certain obligations to one another. >> mitt romney took more than 90 minutes to call the president and concede then he gave a short speech in boston. >> at a time like this, we can't risk partisan bickering and posturing. our leaders have to reach across the aisle to do the work. >> two parties will have to come together quickly because we face falling off the fiscal cliff at the end of the year. john boehner will give a speech at 3:30 eastern today. his office says that statement will talk about finding common ground, growing the economy and lowering the debt. we're back with more steph and celebration after the break. stay with us! (vo) she gets the comedians laughing and the thinkers

of mountains and don't replace them. >> stephanie: robin in florida. allegedly. go ahead robin. >> caller: hi. >> stephanie: hi, robin. >> caller: i want to say how much you enjoy your show. if you want to start your day off right, two things you can do first listen to i got a good feeling by flo rida, then immediately find the karl rove video, put it on and crack up. >> stephanie: yep. >> caller: because let me tell you about election night. as soon as ohio, my home state put it over the top which i knew they would. >> stephanie: right. >> caller: i went immediately immediately to fox. i thought karl rove's hair was going to grow back. i thought buddy, lose your grip. you led mitt romney down the golden path. go hide, baby. >> stephanie: although he can't run fast, i'm guessing. hi, june. >> caller: hello stephanie. i have a bone to pick about the republican station i do not want to name the name of it, theythey were having a round table discussion. their thinking is out of the world. they're saying that we're going to have to attract more minorities and blacks and hispanics by putting up mo

matthews band. i'm looking forward to it. tomorrow sunday in new hampshire. florida. ohio. back to ohio and colorado. monday wisconsin, guess where, ohio after that. and then iowa before he finishes up in chicago where he will spend election eve. ohio we should mention nbc news and the marist organization yesterday put out their poll for ohio has the president up six. a whopping margin compared to what we've seen in the past. our poll even has the president up two in florida. so the obama team certainly optimistic and down the stretch they come to keep that sports metaphor going. >> love it. thank you. >> as for the challenger mitt romney needs to rally his troops and out gun the president's skilled operation. peter zand certificate on a plane right now with the romney campaign. he called this report for us right before takeoff. >> reporter: two stops down, three more to go today as part of the 72 hour final sprint for mitt romney here in dubuque, iowa there's been a unique opportunity on the campaign plane as we prepare to board for colorado. several of the governor's top advisers are

headquarters in ft. myers, florida. on election night some voters were still in line long after the polls closed. the last ballot was cast at 1:30 a.m. in the morning, that would be on wednesday. here's something we haven't seen before. the election supervisor gave this emotional apology. >> i want to close by apologizing to the voters of lee coun county, to those who waited in long lines -- excuse me -- during eight days of early voting. to those who waited in long lines at the precincts, and to those who got discouraged and left without voting. >> florida counties say these didn't have enough scanners. dozens of poll workers overslept. 19 polls places in hawaii ran out of the ballots. folks, i think this is terribly unacceptable. the president said we have to fix this. i say let's get to work. let's turn to crystal ball, co-host of the cycle and ari melber. do you think in a maybe the american people and democrats, i think the democrats want to do something about this. is there any way to shame republican leadership into doing this, crystal? >> well, probably not, though i think if the

colorado, florida and virginia. it expected to be neck and neck in ohio and have a shot in pennsylvania. clearly they were wrong on all counts. but wasn't just team romney. just look at what they thought about the indiana senate race. one national republican poll showed tea party candidate richard murdoch running even with joe donnelly. and he lost by sick pointck six. so it was across the board they were totally off base. >> two things going on here. one could just be their numbers were bad. but if people knew how far back they actually were, you would have as in many of the public polls indeed were showing, you would have had, first of all, financial troubles. the donors would be bailing and more importantly, the voters don't want to be on board with a loser. you want to create that sense of momentum. now, clearly this fell well short of that. the problem that you have here, though, is that in the house of representatives, these guys think they ran a terrific campaign and the republicans think that they have been rewarded for the very positions that romney was punished for holding. so

in his florida county. the colonel is here and calling the whole process a sham. and allegations of voter fraud surfacing in pennsylvania and ohio. we will investigate when we come we will investigate when we come back. sometimes life can be well, a little uncomfortable. but when it's hard or hurts to go to the bathroom, there's dulcolax stool softener. dulcolax stool softener doesn't make you go, it just makes it easier to go. dulcolax stool softener. make yourself comfortable. >> greta: we are almost one week removed from the election and my next guest isn't getting out of his seat just yet, allen west is demanding a full recount. now this, latest challenge after a partial recount of early votes in a county conducted and voting irregularities are not confined to florida. there are reports of unusual trends, rom fee did not get a single vote not one of 59 voting divisions in philly. in ohio, obama won 100% of the vote. here is more with the sus spishus voting trends, alan west. 59 divisions, 19,605 votes for obama. zero for romney. that is amazing and in ohio, let's see. we've got intere

final results are in from florida. with counting still underway, obama is leading romney in florida by board than 49,000 votes. -- by more than 49,000 votes. california has officially cancelled a planned college tuition hike following the passage of a tax increase in the statewide ballot. california voters approved proposition 30, which imposes a $6 billion temporary tax hike in order to avoid massive cuts to spending on education. california's sales tax will rise by a quarter cent for four years while individuals making over $250,000 a year will pay higher rates over seven years. the measure passed with an overwhelming turnout from young voters, an outgrowth of the widespread protests against tuition hikes on california campuses last year. the average tuition cost for full-time students will remain at the same rate as last year. advocates for marijuana reform are preparing for a showdown with the federal government following historic victories in colorado and washington. voters in both states approved measures legalizing marijuana for recreational use, the first time ever that has

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